Eric Moody’s Favorite Fantasy Football Draft Target

Since the conclusion of the NFL Draft in late April, I have participated in over 60 fantasy football mock drafts.

Based on those mocks, these are the players who keep destroying my teams. I’ve included each player’s ADP (Average Draft Position) from our live draft trends.

You can click on a player’s name to read draft notes written by my colleague and projection maestro Mike Clay.

Quarterback

Russell WilsonBroncos (ADP: 88.7, QB11)

Wilson has high expectations from the Broncos and fantasy football managers in 2022, and I believe he can meet them. Denver’s near-adoption quarterback has been playing since Peyton Manning retired at the end of the 2015 season, while Wilson thrived in Seattle. Since 2016, Wilson has finished eighth in completions (1,956), sixth in passing yards (23,085) and third in touchdowns (186) for the Seahawks offense, 31st in total passing attempts (3,124) in that time frame. was in place. Wilson could end up as the top fantasy quarterback for the Broncos team that will rely heavily on the passing game in high-scoring matchups at the AFC West that include the Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders.

Derek CareyRaiders (ADP: 109.8, QB13)

Carr is another under-appreciated fantasy quarterback, rising to the top five in 2022 davante adams As their new No. 1 receiver. Manning (33,189) and Matt Ryan (32,757) is the only quarterback to throw more yards than Carr (31,700) in his first eight career seasons. Carr threw for a career-high 4,804 yards last season but only threw for 23 touchdowns. Adams will be able to help them in this area. According to NFL Next Gen Stats, Carr had the ninth-highest passing score on deep attempts in 2021. These factors, as well as the aggressive mindset of new head coach Josh McDaniels, keep Carr in good shape for a breakout season.

Tua TagovailoaDolphins (ADP: 152.6, QB16)

In 2022, Tagovailoa’s starting job and future with the Dolphins are at stake. Even in the face of adversity, Tagovailoa has a chance to exceed expectations. tyrek hill And Chase Edmonds Dolphins are among the playwrights to join their crime in this offseason. Since 2010, 29 quarterbacks have been selected in Round 1 of the NFL Draft to attempt a pass in their third season. Twenty-five of 29 played more than 50% of their team’s games, while 17 of 25 had 3,250 or more passing yards. Tagovailoa can throw for 4,000 or more yards and 25 or more touchdowns in which the Dolphins have a supporting cast. If you’re playing the Superflex League, he makes a great QB2.

running back

D’Andre SwiftLion (adp: 18.0, rb8)

Swift is readily available at the end of the first round. He had 213 touches, 1,069 total yards and seven touchdowns in 13 games last season, and his skill as a receiver raises his fantasy ceiling. Was the only running back to have a higher target share than Swift (13.9%) last season thanks austin (14.3%), Alvin Kamra (14.3%) and Nazi Harris (14.4%). Swift’s fantasy prospects will be fueled by the Lions’ offensive line, which is expected to be a force to be reckoned with. In his career, he has made 20 or more touches in just four matches. Swift has prioritized working on playing through minor injuries this season, so that could change in 2022.

AJ DillonPackers (ADP: 101.3, RB32)

For crime Packers in desperate search of dependable playwrights, Dillon is the upfront choice for fantasy managers. In the past two seasons, the only other teams with a higher run block win rate than the Packers (73.5%) were the Philadelphia Eagles (73.8%) and the Washington Commanders (74.4%). While only two of Dillon’s runs in the previous season went for more than 20 yards, and he was one of only seven running backs in the league to carry the ball 150 or more times and two or more of 20 yards. There are fewer runs, Dillon is likely to have better luck in the area and can see more goals as a receiver.

Melvin Gordon IIIBroncos (ADP: 124.5, RB37)

javonte williams caught the attention of the fantasy community, and rightly so, but the Broncos re-signed Gordon in late April ahead of the draft. In 2021, he started most of Denver’s games when he split with Williams, and could do so again in 2022. Among active running backs, Gordon is No. 4 with 6,144 career rushing yards. Mark Ingram II, Ezekiel Elliot And derrick henry There are only running backs with more. He’s firmly on the flex radar.

Damon PierceTexan (ADP: 164.1, RB47)

The Texans need to boost their running game after finishing last season with 1,422 rushing yards and 3.4 yards per carry, the worst in the NFL. The boost comes with his fourth-round rookie Pierce out of Florida. He made 13 rushing touchdowns for the Gators in 2021. As a team, the Texans scored eight rushing touchdowns in 2021, tied for the fewest in the NFL. Pierce is surrounded by experienced players Marlon McKay, Rex Birkhead, Dare Ogunbowale And Royce Freeman In a gloomy Houston backfield. He deserves a late flight in the fantasy draft.

gus edwardsRavens (ADP: 168.4, RB53)

The Ravens’ Running Game Will Be Built Around the Quarterback Lamar Jackson and running back JK Dobbins and Edwards. In 2020, when all three of them were healthy, they accumulated 3,071 rushing yards, the third-highest total in NFL history. It has been reported that Dobbins will not be ready for the first week. In light of the uncertainty surrounding Dobbins’ availability, I’d prefer to target Edwards late in the Fantasy Draft.

wide receiver

Stephen DiggsBill (ADP: 12.4, WR5)

Diggs has the potential to end the 2022 season as Fantasy WR1. Since joining the Bills in 2020, Diggs has racked up a great deal, ranking in the NFL’s Top 10 in receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns. Diggs also set career highs at Target with the Bills. He was not very dominant during his second season at Buffalo, dealing with a larger number of double-teams, fewer slot goals and more vertical goals, but still finished as WR7 in PPR formats in 2021. Give digs more flexibility to see more slots and intermediate targets.

mike evansBuccaneers (ADP: 23.6, WR9)

Throughout his career, Evans has averaged 16.3 fantasy points per game, passing 1,000 receiving yards each season. with tom brady Under center, Evans has averaged 72.0 receptions, 1,020 receiving yards and 13.5 touchdowns per season. Evans could be hooked more during the early part of the season: Chris Godwin recovering from a knee injury at the end of last season and Julius Jones Works its way into the mix.

t higginsBengals (ADP: 33.9, WR11)

In this summer’s fantasy draft, go’mar chase Will attract a lot of attention, and for good reason. However, Higgins, who had 74 receptions for 1,091 yards and six touchdowns in 14 games last season, may be a better value. It is possible to see the same target volume for both.

dj moorePanthers (ADP: 36.6, WR13)

Moore finished the previous season with a goal share of 28.4%, the sixth-highest in the league. He finished fifth in the air yard with 1,632. Moore has had three straight seasons with 1,100 or more receiving yards. The Panthers’ new offensive coordinator, Ben McAdoo, will also play a key role in building Moore this season. With his West Coast, up-tempo and quick-release concepts, Moore should be able to gain significant yards after catching a pass baker mayfield,

Terry McLaurinCommander (ADP: 42.1, WR15)

McLaurin is another receiver that is easy to overlook in the fantasy draft. Last season, he averaged 100 or more air yards per game, ranking in the top 10. In McLaurin’s career, he has averaged 7.76 goals and 67.2 receiving yards per game. Above all, Carson Wentz Might be the best quarterback I’ve played with. McLaurin has a good chance of making a career year.

Michael Pittman Jr.., Colts (ADP: 42.5, WR16)

Last season, Pittman became the first Colt wide receiver to cross 1,000 receiving yards ty hilton in 2018. And it did so with a target share of 25.7%. Pittman has a bright future with new QB Matt Ryan, who has a history of associating his No. 1 receiver with goals. Julius Jones Ryan averaged 9.8 goals per game during his time with the Falcons. It’s possible that Pittman could end up as a low-end WR1 this season.

darnell mooneyBear (ADP: 67.8, WR24)

During Mooney’s second season in the NFL, he led the Chicago Bears in receptions (81), receiving yards (1,055) and targets (140). Mooney also ranked in the top 20 at Air Yards and Target Separation. The quality of his goals was less than the norm last season, but that may change under a new regime in 2022. Quarterback Justin Fields And Mooney is spending more time together this offseason than any other Bears teammates. After training together in Atlanta in March, Mooney stayed with Fields, and since attending the off-season event in April, the two have continued to push each other on and off the field. Don’t overlook Mooney in your ADP.

JuJu Smith-ShusterHead (ADP: 82.1, WR32)

with Patrick Mahomes And the return of the Chiefs, Smith-Schuster, could have a big season. Luckily, he is now in a very creative offensive plan with Mahomes being at the peak. It’s a stark difference from last season when he was catching a pass from a weak-armed Ben Roethlisberger at the end of his career. Smith-Shuster is Kansas City’s best wide receiver. He’s going to feast on a major offense that has 360 goals and 2,753 available air yards. Mahomes has had the most slot wide receiver targets among all quarterbacks over the past two seasons.

Christian KirkeeJaguar (ADP: 101.5, WR39)

Kirk had a career year last season with 77 receptions for 982 yards and five touchdowns. He recorded 722 receiving yards from the slot. It was the fourth highest in the league after cooper coup (1,321), Mark Andrews (901) and tyler boyd (766). It doesn’t matter whether you agree to the contract Jaguar has given Kirk. The Jaguars were in dire need of wide receivers, and Kirk is expected to lead them this season in goals, receptions and the receiving yard.

tight ends

Zach ErtzCardinals (ADP: 97.1, TE9)

Ertz arrived in Arizona 7 weeks earlier. For the rest of the season, the only tight end with more goals than Ertz (79) was Mark Andrews (107). Ertz re-signed this off-season to a three-year deal with the Cardinals worth $17.5 million and will play a key role in the upcoming season. he will continue to be heavily targeted kyler murrayespecially in the red zone, while deandre hopkins Completes his six-game suspension.

Cole KmetBear (ADP: 143.1, TE15)

Kmet seems optimistic about the Bears’ offense under the new coaching arrangement. While Kemet caught 60 passes for 612 yards and had no touchdowns last season, he ranked No. 8 among tight ends in goals (93). Kmet may be more involved in the passing game this year, which is why he’s training with it Justin Fields And darnell mooney this offseason. Kmet may see more goals in the end zone or near the goal line with new offensive coordinator Luke Getsy.

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